This Aurora forecast indicator (known as "planetary K-index") is simply a scale to measure the geomagnetic activity that is directly related to Northern Lights visibility. Below are maps showing the most southern extent of where aurora might be observable for different levels of the geomagnetic Kp index (and the NOAA G scale). Posted November 7, 2021. But since 2012 Ive seen the aurora every single year at the end of September or beginning of October, with a total of 10 sightings during that time period. The highest UV index ever recorded was 43.3 on top of a volcano in Bolivia. He used several basic factors that would affect how hot . It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. These data are made available through the cooperation of the Geological Survey of Canada (GSC) and the US Geological Survey. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online! The record was . Kevin Palmer Photography. Offline 9 # Ex Machina Posted at 3-25 17:19 Huh, do you have any links you can share on why the KP index doesn't matter? The activity level classification for the geomagnetic storms follows NOAA's space weather scale for geomagnetic storms. And even there it would have been difficult to see. Also maybe what place has a record high UV index ever? plastkupa utomhusbelysning; discord ranking system Every G-level has a certain Kp-value associated with it. Solar activity is increasing faster than official forecasts had predicted, data appears to show, and experts predict a stronger solar cycle than in previous years. The UK's highest-ever temperature has been officially recorded in Cambridge, the Met Office has confirmed. Instead, they were searching for environments on Earth that were similar to Mars. 2k. For any location on the middle latitudes a Kp-value of 7 is needed. The table below shows you the values used by The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index ranging from Kp=0 to Kp=9. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938. But oddly enough the Kp index never exceeded 7. The image below shows a plot of the Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index from October 2003 with 3 days of intense geomagnetic storming. You can also directly click on a date in the overview plot below the main diagram. Its prime purpose is to give a rough estimate of the strength of an on-going geomagnetic event with enough notice for electromagnetic system operators. http://sunearthday.gsfc.nasa.gov/swac/data.php, GREEN BARS show a Kp index less than 4 (indicates little magnetic change), YELLOW BARS show a Kp index equal to 4 (indicates moderate magnetic change), RED BARS when the Kp is greater than 4 (indicates a storm warning). By the time the KP index is high enough to have an effect on drone flight, drones will be the last thing you'll be concerned about. Due to subtleties in the way the solar wind interacts with Earths magnetosphere, there is a tendency towards larger geomagnetic storms, and thus better auroras, to occur near the equinoxes. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Answer: Mideast Hit With 165F Heat, 'Highest Ever Recorded' Scorching heat has put temperatures as high as 165 degrees in the Middle East, as a "heat dome" passes its way through the region. As of right now, we are approaching the end of solar cycle 24, which started in December of 2008. In 2020, Seymour Island in Antarctica recorded a maximum temperature of 20.7C . Sometimes changes in the suns activity can cause big changes in Kp. The air temperature was 108* and the dewpoint was 95*. A radiation detector left on the 19,423-foot-tall (5,920 meters) peak picked up the extreme spike in UV-B radiation during the Southern Hemisphere summer. TheRoyal Observatory of Belgium SILSOhas been recording sunspot numbers for even longer since the 1700s. Why do HF band conditions as the A index increases. The highest i witnessed was Kp9 in 2003 (i was 4 there ) Moderator. Highest ever in state history. Mountain + 7 hours = UT The K-index, and by extension the Planetary K-index, are used to characterize the magnitude of geomagnetic storms. Death Valley National Park is a desert that attracts hikers and has a small Shoshone population. "The solar flare is the big question mark here," Cabrol told Live Science. We often use this G-scale on the website so its wise to familiarize yourself with it. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 77 F. The sun isnt always predictable. Hoped for a 5 to see the northern lights. UV levels peak in summer and are lowest in winter. . For Kp in the range of 3 to 5, the aurora will move further from the poles, it will become brighter and there will be more auroral . The UV index measures the amount of damaging ultraviolet solar radiation expected to reach the Earth's surface when the sun is highest in the sky, generally between the midday hours of 10 a.m. and 2 p.m. In the Andes, intense tropical sun, high elevation and naturally low ozone levels combine to boost UV radiation to record heights. The second highest temperature was recorded at Kebili, Tunisia, which was 55.0C recorded on July 07, 1931. So for Kp = 1, the aurora would move down to 64 degrees, for Kp=2, it would move to 62 degrees, etc until reaching Kp of 9 at 48 degrees magnetic latitude. National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Space Weather Prediction Center I take your points about myth propagation . By the late afternoon, the mercury had swelled to a . There were 25 days in a row in which the Kp index never rose above 0. On July 9, 2021, California's Death Valley reached 130 degrees Fahrenheit, according to an automated measuring system there, representing one of the highest temperatures ever recorded on the planet.The world record, also recorded at Death Valley, was 134 degrees in July 1913. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. In general it's better to play it safe during solar storms, even though most of the time you won't notice any issues. News Refugee numbers hit record high in 2019: UN report. The highest dew point ever recorded, 95F (35C), was recorded at Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, on July 8, 2003. Even when I was in Iceland, the highest KP I experienced was 3. Impress Your Friends, Predict the (Space) Weather To do this, you'll check an index called Kp, a number from 0-9, which is used to rate the global . The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0-9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. what language does lisa gerrard sing in. This scale is used to give a quick indication of the severity of a geomagnetic storm. Then hit create plot. Give your support for our organization by making a donation. "The major spikes in UV pretty much match exactly with this major solar activity.". Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The short answer is NO. Eastern Standard + 5 hours = UT On June 21st, there is only a 12% chance. Time/General. When dawn broke Sunday in Death Valley, Calif., the low temperature was a sweltering 107.7 degrees, the highest ever recorded in North America. The planetary 3-hour-range index Kp is the mean standardized K-index from 13 geomagnetic observatories between 44 degrees and 60 degrees northern or southern geomagnetic latitude. The researchers think seasonal thunderstorms over the Andes and fires burning in the Amazon could have depleted protective ozone, along with an atmospheric train of ozone-depleting chemicalsstreaming north from Antarctica. When you purchase through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. For example, with a KP 3, youre very likely to see the Northern Lights in Iceland, but if you want to see the Northern Lights in England, the data says that youll need a KP 5 or higher. It reached a milestone of 29,000 on Jan. 15. Visit our corporate site (opens in new tab). The above tutorials compliment the downloadable Flip Charts and Data Sheets. The dew point is correlated with relative humidity; theoretically, humidity could reach saturation at 100 percent and there is no higher percentage that humidity could possibly reach. Sunday afternoon's temperature of 111 is the hottest high temperature of record for July 10th. 02-23-2014, 05:29 AM sulkiercupid : Location: Perth, Western Australia. The solar plasma is so hot that it breaks free of the sun's gravitational force and blows away from the surface in all directions. Copyright 2003-2023 SpaceWeatherLive All rights reserved - Part of Parsec vzw -. Heres how it works. The world record for the highest temperature ever officially recorded is 134.0F (56.7C). With an air temperature of 108F (42C) the heat index was 178F (81C). The maximum occurred in April of 2014 and the next minimum is expected in 2020 or 2021, marking the start of solar cycle #25. Happy flying! It appears Cuzco, Peru has the highest UV index in the world due to the high altitude of the Andes and low latitude. The next high Kp Index flight incident reported, will be the first ever. Kp of 9+: aurora could be seen as far south as Texas and Florida. Thresher sharks . A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. If you are planning a trip to see the aurora hopefully this data will help you decide when to go and have the highest success rate. The data below shows the K-index for the past week, as measured from Leirvogur Magnetic Observatory. One major factor is your latitude: ionospheric disturbances are worse at high and equatorial latitudes, and less noticeable at mid latitudes. These are the official, finalized Kp-values for scientific research and archive purposes. No-one has ever had it affect their drone. The average characteristics of year-to-year variability of Galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux measured in one mid-latitude neutron monitor stations (Newark) and high latitude station (Apatity) have been studied under different planetary disturbance (Kp) conditions. At these levels, aurora may be seen directly overhead from the northern states of the USA. Visit theKp Index Explainedpage to learn how it relates to seeing the aurora. The highest temperature ever recorded on the European continent is 48 degrees Celsius (118.40 degrees Fahrenheit) in 1977 in Athens. Instead of 9 satellites, you might lock only 6, or the number might fluctuate from second to second. The planetary 3-hour-range index Kp is the mean standardized K-index from 13 geomagnetic observatories between 44 degrees and 60 degrees northern or southern geomagnetic latitude. Can cause big changes in the overview plot below the main diagram location on the middle latitudes Kp-value... 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